12.23.2014

2015 Outlook: Michael Hanson, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

12.23.2014
Terry Flanagan

Michael Hanson is senior U.S. economist at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research

What were the major themes of your business in 2014?

Michael Hanson, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research

Michael Hanson, BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research

The major themes for 2014 were a rebound in growth as Washington calmed down and deleveraging largely ran its course, low inflation due to global factors and excess capacity, and a Fed on hold throughout the year, gradually winding down its asset purchases.

What are your expectations for 2015?

The expectations for 2015 are sequentially better growth (3.3% year over year real GDP growth) as the drop in energy prices and further normalization of credit conditions support spending, still low inflation as global disinflationary forces offset modest upward pressure as the labor market tightens, and a patient and gradual approach to Fed tightening that likely will see a slow rate hiking cycle begin in the second half of 2015.

Related articles

  1. Tradeweb’s credit trading solutions and data will be integrated into BlackRock’s Aladdin.

  2. Trading Europe From ‘Across the Pond’

    Despite difficult circumstances, demand for SFDR Article 9 funds remained sustained.

  3. Assessing Bond Liquidity
    Daily Email Feature

    Low Touch, High Liquidity

    Janus Henderson traders use a broad spectrum of electronic tools to optimize the search for liquidity.

  4. Florida CFO said ESG standards are being pushed by BlackRock for ideological reasons.

  5. Outlook 2016: Stephen Grainger, SWIFT

    The new regime requires a new investment playbook involving more frequent portfolio changes.