Investors to Capitalize on the Brexit-Battered Pound06.24.2016
Sensible investors will be seeking to cash in on the weak pound, affirms the Head of FX at one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory organizations.
The observation from James Stanton, deVere Group’s Head of Foreign Exchange, comments as sterling fell to a three decade low in the wake of Britain’s decision to leave the European Union.
Mr Stanton explains: “The Brexit victory has dragged the pound down, as was expected. But the scale of the drop has been a shock – it plummeted to its lowest level since 1985.
“However, moving forward as the dust settles, it can be expected that GBP/USD resistance could be found at 1.35 with support levels found above 1.38. Similarly, I believe that GBP/EUR will soon test levels at 1.20.
“In the longer term, I think that the Euro will be fundamentally weakened by Brexit, as it could serve as catalyst for full EU break up as other member countries calling for referendums.”
He goes on to say:“ This news was always going to create a huge panic sell-off and bearing in mind the wider impact this will have on the Euro, many sensible investors will be seeking to look to cash in on a Brexit-battered pound.
“UK banks are stress-tested to deal with this kind of news, as Mark Carney, the Governor of the Bank of England has said this morning, and will offer a lot of support during these testing times.
“We can expect the pound to begin to stabilize over the next week, thereby creating better selling opportunities for investors and, indeed, the wider public.
“I strongly believe GBP/EUR will recover back nearer to the 1.30 mark and GBP/USD to 1.45 by the year’s end.”
Mr Stanton concludes: “Investors will be using the plummeting pound to their long term financial advantage.”
Review of trading desks found that incoming banks did not yet retain full control of their balance sheets.
UK has a greater market share than pre-Brexit for on-venue execution of GBP interest rate swaps.
Recognition has been temporarily extended until 30 June 2025.
The trade repository has been providing UK services since the first business day after Brexit on 4 Jan 2021.
European firms could operate temporarily in the UK after Brexit while seeking full authorisation.