Amid increased net issuance and uncertainty around economic events, demand for reliable, highly liquid interest rate risk management is driving record inflows into CME Group Treasury futures:
- New record: Open interest (OI) has surged 30% since January 1 to a record 18.5M contracts.
- That’s +41% YoY: And +64% since post-COVID lows of Nov. 2020.
- It’s a trend: In the last 3 months, over 90% of days have surpassed the prior February 2019 OI high of 16.6M.
- Record volumes, too: Treasury futures notional ADV ($563B) is at a record high percentage of 105% as compared to TRACE cash volumes (52-week rolling basis).
Source: CME
With Friday’s non-farm payroll approaching, $600 billion in net coupon issuance expected in H2, and two CPI readings before the next Fed meeting, CME Group Treasury futures are primed to facilitate risk transfer.
Source: CME
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